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My Gut Feeling For Today, March 30, 2020: Suffering From Leptokurtosis

March 30, 2020 / scott / Volatility / No Comments

Financial markets around the globe are suffering from a bad case of leptokurtosis. This is not a viral disease but a statistical condition. Leptokurtosis is what is known as “fat-tailed” returns. Put another way, market returns are larger – both up and down – than under normal market conditions. Not only are closing returns much […]

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My Gut Feeling For Today, March 28, 2018: Late Day Market Moves Remain Unanswered

March 28, 2018 / scott / Volatility / No Comments

Since I last published my commentary, the equity markets in the US have experienced three late day, for the most part, last hour plunges. On the other trading day, Monday, the markets rallied steadily from the opening bell. All told, since the beginning of last week, the Standard & Poor’s 500 (SPX) has declined nearly […]

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My Gut Feeling For Today, February 12, 2018: Esoteric Pseudo-Financial Instruments Must be Outlawed

February 12, 2018 / scott / Volatility / 3 Comments

Last week I highlighted some of the reasons behind the recent market sell-off: rising bond yields; algorithmic trading; robo advisors and the Dodd-Frank Act Volker rule. Rising bond yields are due to strong economic growth. Algorithmic trading only benefits a very few trading firms and hurts the rest of the market. Robo Advisors are an […]

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My Gut Feeling For Today, February 4, 2016: Just Another Wild Ride on the Cyclone

February 4, 2016 / scott / Volatility / No Comments

I grew up in Brooklyn, not far from Coney Island. Of course, one of the world’s most famous attractions, the landmark Cyclone roller coaster, was my favorite amusement ride. After a ride on the Cyclone, you could keep on taking repeat rides for an amount less than the original ticket cost. For one of my […]

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My Gut Feeling For Today, September 2, 2015: Playing the Retest Game

September 2, 2015 / scott / Volatility / No Comments

The markets began the month of September by taking its cue from August. It started out rather suspiciously with pre-market futures gapping lower on no real news. Given that pre-market futures trade very thinly, it looked like some market manipulation was going on. Regulators are catching up to these thieves but there is always a […]

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My Gut Feeling For Today, February 3, 2014: Getting On With Life After The Super Bowl

February 3, 2014 / scott / Automotive Industry, China Economy & Market, Entertainment, Volatility / No Comments

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Facebook (FB), S&P 500 (SPX), Twiter (TWTR)

My Gut Feeling For Today, January 28, 2014: Apple Results Will Impact Markets

January 28, 2014 / scott / Gold, Investment Strategies, Materials, Mobile Devices, ProShares, Technology, Volatility / No Comments

When you read the box score for a sports game you really don’t get a feel for what took place on the field. All that you obtain is the bottom line, the final score. While the bottom line, i.e. the closing prices, is important in the world of investing, the ebb and flow of activity […]

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Apple (AAPL), CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), Dow Jones Industrials (DJIA), NASDAQ Composite (IXIC), ProShares Ultra Short Gold (GLL), S&P 500 (SPX)

My Gut Feeling For Today, January 24, 2014: Emerging Market Worries Begin to Fester

January 24, 2014 / scott / China Economy & Market, Emerging Markets, Gold, Investment Strategies, Volatility / No Comments

The markets bent but did not break yesterday. The Standard & Poor’s 500 (SPX) at its worst declined over 24 points or 1.34%, only to close off 16.4 points or 0.89%. Initially the raison d’etre for the selloff was attributed to earnings and economic data. However, problems in the emerging markets are beginning to bubble […]

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McDonalds (MCD), S&P 500 (SPX)

My Gut Feeling For Today December 19, 2013

December 19, 2013 / scott / Asset Management, Bears, Bulls, Federal Reserve FOMC, High Dividend, High Net Worth Wealth Management, Investing, Monetary Policy, Monetary Tapering, Quantitative Easing QE, Restaurant Industry, Retail & Consumer, Stock Trading Strategies, Volatility / No Comments

The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee or FOMC came down from its financial Mt. Olympus to deliver a decision on monetary policy. The market was as I predicted flattish, up till then. The headline decision was to decrease its monthly purchases of bonds by $10 billion to $75 billion. That is what was referred to […]

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Darden Restaurants (DRI), Dow Jones Industrials (DJIA), Facebook (FB), Google (GOOG), Hershey (HSY), Nike (NKE), S&P 500 (SPX)

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Latest From Scott

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