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My Gut Feeling For Today, December 16, 2019: Market Hits a Grand Slam

December 16, 2019 / scott / Economy / 2 Comments

Remarkably it was a quiet week for the market. Though, on Friday the great news for the week began to get imputed into stock prices. So, what happened last week? Stock investors and the markets here in the United States hit a grand slam. In baseball, a grand slam refers to a homerun with the […]

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My Gut Feeling For Today, September 3, 2019: Enough of This Bull$%@#

September 3, 2019 / scott / Economy / 2 Comments

August is usually a quiet month, except when some exogenous event occurs. This August however, people were trying to create exogenous events. Frankly, this is disconcerting to me and many market professionals. On August 14, the equity markets took a steep dive – about 3% – when the yield curve on the short end briefly […]

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My Gut Feeling For Today, November 26, 2018: Are We Headed for a Recession?

November 26, 2018 / scott / Economy / No Comments

There is no doubt that the recent two-month correction has been quite painful for investors. Every correction has its own unique “explanation” for the decline. Not only does it vary, but it is unpredictable. This time around there appears to be several theories for the decline. One theory I have already discussed, is that of […]

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My Gut Feeling For Today, January 23, 2018: Keynes Would Be Happy

January 23, 2018 / scott / Economy / No Comments

Congress came to an agreement over a short-term spending bill, ending a three-day vacation for the Federal Government. The markets responded by rising to all-time highs, putting last week’s intraday negative turnaround in the rearview mirror. As I hypothesized that was all due to fear of a government shutdown. Remove the fear and the markets reverted […]

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My Gut Feeling For Today, March 3, 2016: Obama’s Unemployment Rate is Mickey Mouse

March 3, 2016 / scott / Economy / No Comments

Welcome from the Contemporary Resort at Disney World (DIS) in Orlando, Florida where I am speaking at the Money Show this week. Last night, in celebration of the Money Show’s 35th anniversary, we attended a special dinner with guest speaker, Larry Kudlow. Many of you know that I was regularly on the old Kudlow & Cramer […]

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My Gut Feeling For Today, January 19, 2016: Much to Expect from Davos and Earnings

January 19, 2016 / scott / Economy / No Comments

On Thursday the markets put in a nice turnaround session. What we needed was follow through on Friday but alas that would not be provided to the markets. It was the same old culprits – China weakness, falling crude oil prices, fear of Fed and the strong US Dollar – which caused the downdraft. Intel […]

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My Gut Feeling For Today, September 1, 2015: Goodbye and Good Riddance to August

September 1, 2015 / scott / Economy / No Comments

The markets closed out August with yet another losing session. There was a midday attempt to rally stocks but what looked like, at least to me, overseas selling in the more liquid US markets, repelled any rally attempt. So we clock out August with a decline of 6.26% for the S&P 500 (SPX). It is […]

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My Gut Feeling For Today, May 29, 2015: GDP Could Add Volatility to the End of May

May 29, 2015 / scott / Economy / No Comments

Tuesday’s one-day blunder gave investors the opportunity to snatch up stocks at a discount, which they did. On Thursday the market resumed its recent slow motion flat lining action. Perhaps, traders were taking a day off before today’s busy economic calendar. Before the market opens, the second stab at 1st quarter GDP and the Chicago […]

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My Gut Feeling For Today, May 27, 2015: Market Takes Good News as Bad News

May 27, 2015 / scott / Economy / No Comments

A slew of economic releases indicated that the economy and housing are gaining strength. This resulted in the US Dollar rising, bonds falling in price and rising in yield and stocks getting sold for fear of the FOMC increasing interest rates. It was classic good news being interpreted as bad news session.  It was also, […]

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My Gut Feeling For Today, June 3, 2014: ISM Teaches Market a Lesson

June 3, 2014 / scott / Economy / No Comments

While the Apple (AAPL) World Wide Developers Conference was a well-orchestrated and quite amusing performance, it was as intended, a method by which Apple could present its new operating system to developers. To the extent that new whiz bang consumer products were not introduced, it may have disappointed some market watchers, but in the final […]

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