There is no doubt that the recent two-month correction has been quite painful for investors. Every correction has its own unique “explanation” for the decline. Not only does it vary, but it is unpredictable. This time around there appears to be several theories for the decline. One theory I have already discussed, is that of […]
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My Gut Feeling For Today, January 23, 2018: Keynes Would Be Happy
Congress came to an agreement over a short-term spending bill, ending a three-day vacation for the Federal Government. The markets responded by rising to all-time highs, putting last week’s intraday negative turnaround in the rearview mirror. As I hypothesized that was all due to fear of a government shutdown. Remove the fear and the markets reverted […]
My Gut Feeling For Today, March 3, 2016: Obama’s Unemployment Rate is Mickey Mouse
Welcome from the Contemporary Resort at Disney World (DIS) in Orlando, Florida where I am speaking at the Money Show this week. Last night, in celebration of the Money Show’s 35th anniversary, we attended a special dinner with guest speaker, Larry Kudlow. Many of you know that I was regularly on the old Kudlow & Cramer […]
My Gut Feeling For Today, January 19, 2016: Much to Expect from Davos and Earnings
On Thursday the markets put in a nice turnaround session. What we needed was follow through on Friday but alas that would not be provided to the markets. It was the same old culprits – China weakness, falling crude oil prices, fear of Fed and the strong US Dollar – which caused the downdraft. Intel […]
My Gut Feeling For Today, September 1, 2015: Goodbye and Good Riddance to August
The markets closed out August with yet another losing session. There was a midday attempt to rally stocks but what looked like, at least to me, overseas selling in the more liquid US markets, repelled any rally attempt. So we clock out August with a decline of 6.26% for the S&P 500 (SPX). It is […]
My Gut Feeling For Today, May 29, 2015: GDP Could Add Volatility to the End of May
Tuesday’s one-day blunder gave investors the opportunity to snatch up stocks at a discount, which they did. On Thursday the market resumed its recent slow motion flat lining action. Perhaps, traders were taking a day off before today’s busy economic calendar. Before the market opens, the second stab at 1st quarter GDP and the Chicago […]
My Gut Feeling For Today, May 27, 2015: Market Takes Good News as Bad News
A slew of economic releases indicated that the economy and housing are gaining strength. This resulted in the US Dollar rising, bonds falling in price and rising in yield and stocks getting sold for fear of the FOMC increasing interest rates. It was classic good news being interpreted as bad news session. It was also, […]
My Gut Feeling For Today, June 3, 2014: ISM Teaches Market a Lesson
While the Apple (AAPL) World Wide Developers Conference was a well-orchestrated and quite amusing performance, it was as intended, a method by which Apple could present its new operating system to developers. To the extent that new whiz bang consumer products were not introduced, it may have disappointed some market watchers, but in the final […]
My Gut Feeling For Today, May 29, 2014: GDP Report Confirms Winter Slowdown
Yesterday’s market delivered us that day of rest that I anticipated would occur after the strong rally in stocks. There was really not much we could read into the action. Also, the market was marking time ahead of today’s 1st quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report. I used the wishy washy action to raise a […]
My Gut Feeling For Today, May 2, 2014: Markets Poised to Make New Highs on Labor Report
Sorry about yesterday. The massive rains on Wednesday (on top of my normal schedule) kept me busy all day and night and then I had an early morning breakfast meeting at the university on Thursday. Luckily we did not get flooding but many homes throughout New Jersey did. On Wednesday after the FOMC announced its […]